00Z 26 Nov. A relatively weak surface low, slightly upstream the upper-level trough with a slight positive tilt. We would expect this surface low to follow the thickness lines towards the SE.
22.5 hours later we can see the surface low has done just that now located in the Tasman Sea off of the Victorian Coast, disrupting our marine crew in place there, as well as rapidly intensified. This system dropped over 100mm of rain across Victoria, into NSW, and areas in N QLD, coupled with tropical systems, experienced 200mm+, filling dams to capacity from Cairns down to Melbourne.
.BT
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